我正在尝试运行python在此数据科学站点上用作示例的脚本:https : //www.datascience.com/blog/introduction-to-bayesian-inference-learn-data-science-tutorials
import numpy as np
from scipy.misc import factorial
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
%matplotlib inline
plt.rcParams['figure.figsize'] = (16,7)
def likelihood(theta, n, x):
"""
likelihood function for a binomial distribution
n: [int] the number of experiments
x: [int] the number of successes
theta: [float] the proposed probability of success
"""
return (factorial(n) / (factorial(x) * factorial(n - x))) \
* (theta ** x) * ((1 - theta) ** (n - x))
# The number of impressions for our facebook-yellow-dress campaign
n_impressions = 10
# The number of clicks for our facebook-yellow-dress campaign
n_clicks = 7
# Observed click through rate
ctr = n_clicks / n_impressions
# 0 to 1, all possible click through rates
possible_theta_values = map(lambda x: x/100., range(100))
# Evaluate the likelihood function for possible click through rates
likelihoods = map(lambda theta: likelihood(theta, n, x)\
, possible_theta_values)
# Pick the best theta
mle = possible_theta_values[np.argmax(likelihoods)]
# Plot
f, ax = plt.subplots(1)
ax.plot(possible_theta_values, likelihoods)
ax.axvline(mle, linestyle = "--")
ax.set_xlabel("Theta")
ax.set_ylabel("Likelihood")
ax.grid()
ax.set_title("Likelihood of Theta for New Campaign")
plt.show()
我正在使用 Spyder。我得到的错误包括:
%matplotlib inline
^
SyntaxError: invalid syntax
也
mle = possible_theta_values[np.argmax(likelihoods)]
TypeError: 'map' object is not subscriptable
和
likelihoods = list(map(lambda theta: likelihood(theta, ctr, x)\
NameError: name 'x' is not defined
BIG阳
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